Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.569266 3.067249 3.610310 4.243324 4.957640 5.735501 6.643272
2026-02-08 1.790369 2.418561 3.165980 4.107935 5.249860 6.575870 8.217709
2026-02-15 1.290945 1.970322 2.849033 4.038227 5.572992 7.453915 9.897372
2026-02-22 1.023710 1.749979 2.762803 4.220383 6.201839 8.737695 12.157838
2026-03-01 0.773982 1.490972 2.570966 4.221904 6.579588 9.719860 14.100628
2026-03-08 0.536088 1.184181 2.247508 3.980584 6.583933 10.192377 15.394899
2026-03-15 0.378344 0.962293 2.005341 3.812255 6.655663 10.739971 16.801175
2026-03-22 0.317035 0.900347 2.011455 4.023749 7.296369 12.114939 19.408120
2026-03-29 0.280435 0.877708 2.079943 4.339402 8.114003 13.783113 22.498750
2026-04-05 0.241405 0.837129 2.106178 4.581173 8.826194 15.325427 25.467824
2026-04-12 0.189100 0.745565 2.015437 4.602521 9.176794 16.334746 27.694623
2026-04-19 0.136923 0.631028 1.853177 4.468995 9.252032 16.916335 29.301400
2026-04-26 0.097707 0.534986 1.712642 4.363072 9.373697 17.590721 31.102046
2026-05-03 0.068745 0.453800 1.586123 4.265140 9.496433 18.267069 32.927474
2026-05-10 0.049016 0.392131 1.491522 4.217855 9.702278 19.083031 34.995383
2026-05-17 0.041106 0.376248 1.513590 4.421599 10.383616 20.710665 38.389893
2026-05-24 0.029989 0.334126 1.452357 4.432637 10.699594 21.737017 40.861162
2026-05-31 0.017418 0.265053 1.289974 4.187650 10.499255 21.871541 41.900028
2026-06-07 0.010099 0.215007 1.167866 4.015917 10.423259 22.208164 43.268121
2026-06-14 0.008479 0.211202 1.202984 4.237993 11.158327 23.994969 47.071316
2026-06-21 0.007899 0.217758 1.277465 4.567608 12.131407 26.233835 51.677013
2026-06-28 0.006767 0.216069 1.320765 4.819803 12.954641 28.228302 55.919655
2026-07-05 0.004550 0.193965 1.278991 4.842515 13.295542 29.365410 58.753459